Table of Contents:
Marble Run Race Country Balls World Cup 2018 Russia Re Run Prediction Algodoo
Video taken from the channel: Marks Marble Racing
[email protected]: Lefebvre predicts Donaldson’s home run
Video taken from the channel: MLB
Polar Prediction Run Finish Line Video
Video taken from the channel: The Runiversity
Marathon Training: How to Predict Your Marathon Time
Video taken from the channel: eHowFitness
Marathon Predictions Tanda vs. Runners World vs. Five Thirty Eight
Video taken from the channel: kofuzi
How to Set a Realistic Goal Time For Your Next Race
Video taken from the channel: StrengthRunning
MLB Predicted Home Runs
Video taken from the channel: Sporting Videos
The formula is T2 = T1 x (D2/D1) 1.06 where T1 is the given time, D1 is the given distance, D2 is the distance to predict a time for, and T2 is the calculated time for D2. It is adjusted for.Running Race Predictor. BY MY PRO COACH.
This simple race pace and finish time calculator uses your recent race results to give you a clear table of your predicted race time for other distances, such as 5km, 10km and half marathon. The calculator also shows your predicted race pace in kms and miles!What This Tool Does: Use this calculator to predict your estimated time and pace for any popular running race distance from 1500 meters to the marathon.For best results, your recent races.The race finish calculator below lets you enter a finish time and distance of a previous race or training run and projects what your finish time and pace will be at a longer distance.
This calculator is based on the well known fact that a runner’s pace slows down at longer distances. Once you have your finish time and pace you can use that info.To get a more exact prediction of your race finish time, you can also use a calculator. Keep in mind that the race time predictions are estimates of the time you.Calculations in our running time predictor are based on the mathematical formula published in 1977 in Runner’s World Magazine.
The equation was devised by Peter Riegel, American research engineer and marathoner. The expression allows predicting race times for runners and other athletes giving a certain performance at another distance.Finish Time Predictor. Over the years there have been a few methods for calculating esimated race finish times for distances never run before.
This calculator shows the results of formulas by Peter Riegel and Dave Cameron. Enter either a previous finish time or an average pace and the results will calculate the estimated finish times of other distances.T 1 = time for the known distance D 2 = distance you want to predict the time T 2 = predicted time for the new distance C = performance degradation coefficient. This formula was first published in the August 1977 issue of Runner’s World.
Your overall pace slows as you run longer distances. The coefficient (Coef) describes this slow down. A larger value will produce a longer predicted time.
But you can see all of these factors will affect finish time and if we are then using that finish time to predict a performance over a marathon then we are introducing errors potentially. Using her 30.21 10km road time she went on to run the worlds best marathon time.The Calculator Race Time predictions assume similar race conditions as the race performance entered into the Calculator. In other words, the surface (road, track, cross country, trail, etc.), terrain (flat, hilly, rolling, etc.) and environmental conditions (cool, dry, hot, humid, etc.) are assumed to be the same for the predictions to be most.The same is true for your recent race distance.
This approach is different from what you’ll find on other race time predictor tools, most of which use an equation published by Peter Riegel in 1981: T2 = T1 x (D2/D1)1.06 where T1 and D1 are your finish time and distance in a recent race, and T2 and D2 are your predicted time and distance in an upcoming race.Determine how fast your pace should be if you have a certain finish time for a desired distance or race. For example, find out what pace you need to keep to run a 28-minute 5K or a sub-2:00 half marathon. Determine what your pace was for your training run around the neighborhood or track.Running Race Time Predictor.
An easy to use calculator to predict a race finish time based on a previously completed race. This calculator will help you to predict your race time based on a previously completed race. It is based on the formula created by Peter Riegel.
Calculate your finish time for popular race distances (5k, 10k, 10 mile, Half Marathon, Marathon) based on your expected pace. 3 min 4 min 5 min 6 min 7 min 8 min 9 min 10 min 11 min 12 min 13 min 14 min 15 min 16 min 17 min 18 min 19 min 20 min 21 min 22 min.These approaches are different from what you’ll find on other race time predictor tools, most of which use an equation published by Peter Riegel in 1981: T2 = T1 x (D2/D1)1.06 where T1 and D1 are your finish time and distance in a recent race, and T2 and D2 are your predicted time and distance in.
List of related literature:
|
|
from Hansons Marathon Method: Run Your Fastest Marathon the Hansons Way |
|
|
|
from Reasoning About Knowledge |
|
|
|
from Marathon: The Ultimate Training Guide |
|
|
|
from Training Essentials for Ultrarunning: How to Train Smarter, Race Faster, and Maximize Your Ultramarathon Performance |
|
|
|
from Sound Systems: Design and Optimization: Modern Techniques and Tools for Sound System Design and Alignment |
|
|
|
from Encyclopedia of Sports Management and Marketing |
|
|
|
from The Art of Sprinting: Techniques for Speed and Performance |
|
|
|
from Real-Time Risk: What Investors Should Know About FinTech, High-Frequency Trading, and Flash Crashes |
|
|
|
from Adventure Racing |
|
|
|
from Triathlon Science |
96 comments
Blower’s predicted by far far far the best than Cy Young 511 wins or Bonds 763 homers
Great vid as always with an enjoyable topic. I think these are good to use as a guide but I wouldn’t get too hung up on it being close, I think you will be considerably quicker than 3:10 I’ve used them for the past 3 marathons I have done and I’ve been faster than the predictors on each occasion so don’t focus too much on it. I am curious though, when you use the Tanda predictor, what was your ‘age group’ prediction? As my last marathon was much closer to that time as opposed to their prediction.
Yikes , nobody told me that haggle Rachel from Fake News was going to be on here.
You really need to Warn your people before you put her on.
Now I need to go take a shower to get clean again. Seriously she’s a scary hack.
I’m sure you’ll hit your time on the Tunnel course. To be safe, you should run 1-2 minutes under BQ time…even though they just lowered the BQ threshold this year.
“I recommend this guide:
euna.best/zcode-guide/UDR
So grateful it exists.”
Dude the Mike Blowers call is legendary. It is absolutely ludicrous. It makes zero sense how the actual hell he did that
Can’t do a compilation of called home runs without including Babe Ruth.
Not going to lie I thought you were lying when you said you were turning 40 later this year, I thought you were in your early 20’s not even kidding.
Please don’t involve MSDNC’s MadCow in our sacred sports world please!!
Wish old rachel maddow would die in a painful way, she is such a cringy bitch. Btw thought she would commit suicide after Trump won
This video was amazing until Rachel mad cow madhouse ruined this vid for me
There have been studies done that show the sub-conscious mind responds to randomly distributed images on a screen some grotesque and fear producing, some pleasant and endearing a fraction of a second BEFORE THEY EVEN APPEAR. That is, horrific images are registered before they actually are even seen.
Dave Nihaus’ call is among my favorite play by play calls of all time. Legendary.
We are in the same age group. I am already 40 and I am also trying to qualify. Remember that you need to finish more like 3:07 or less to get picked. Anything above 3:07 (maybe 3:08) will not get you picked. Good luck!!
Wow this marathon had crept up rather fast! Less than 2 weeks now, madness!
Skip Caray Calling that double play. Loved listening to him call the braves games all those year;)
Hey man, you gotta warn people before slipping in footage of Rachel MadCow, I nearly threw up all over myself. Geez.
I would like to see all the missed home run calls where they say someone is going to hit a home run and they don’t.
Might be a bit late but do touchdowns next
Edit: or if you just do baseball that’s cool too
A couple of these were impressive like the one at 2:48 and the Mike Blowers one but the rest weren’t too impressive. All of these homeruns were on hitter counts 2-0,1-0,3-0. On hitter counts the pitcher is almost forced, there are rare exceptions, to throw a fastball in a location that’s favorable to the batter to get a strike and start working towards a pitcher count 2-2, 1-2,so that they can throw their curvballs, sliders, etc ( pitches that are less accurate but harder to hit). If a coach or commentator has seen a batters performance the last couple of games and the batter is hitting deep foul balls or deep fly balls to the warning track and know the location tendencies of the pitcher/catcher when their behind in a count, and how to the tight umps strike zonehas been, calling a homerun is not some genius or mystic thing at all it happens in dugouts all the time. The double play call was the least impressive out of all the highlights. The pitcher/catcher and the announcer knew that the batter was stepping towards the third base side on every pitch because of this the batter is not able to get proper hip rotation on pitches that are not inside causing him to top the ball if a 2 seam fastball was thrown down the middle. Baseball is a thinking mans game to an extent.
I don’t understand how they are ‘predicted'(watching early in AM) with mute on
Hanger into the bull pin was the best call. He knew the pitcher’s count.
God I miss Dave Niehaus! My childhood was hearing him call Mariners games!! “I don’t believe it, I see the light, I believe you Mike” lol
Have I forgotten to thank Rachel Maddow for taking all of the fun out of baseball?
Babe Ruth would step up to the plate and point with his bat. Which has to suck for the poor pitcher.
i have a really high success rate calling homeruns…
during the homerun derby
“I SEE THE LIGHT!” LMAO…I would’ve lost my shit too if that happened like Blowers predicted. That’s nuts. Gotta love baseball.
This is my famous called shot. A-Rod’s 3000 hit. Got the inning and location right too https://twitter.com/j_nyy/status/611985552749887488
Some baseball players will hit a HR tonight and tomorrow and maybe even all week.
“I recommend this guide:
widy.best/zcode/GP5
So grateful it exists in 2020.”
I’m guessing that guy was notorious for hitting into double plays. That was straight savage though.
Last guy called him into a double play… why you gotta do a man like that?
That first one: I had tweeted to Mark Grace and after he called that homerun I called him “Graciedomus”. They mentioned me on the broadcast.
Ryan Lafevre’s Moustakas call was insane. That was before he became a 38 home run hitter too. He called the pitch and exact location too lol.
You can add Jim Deshaies to this club after saying Ian Happ had a shot to hit one out on opening day…
Damn I miss playing baseball… nothing like knowing it’s gone as soon as you make contact…
RIP Dave Niehaus.
Baseball has always been about radio for me. He was the voice of my childhood, the voice of my young adulthood… And then he was gone.
Fly, fly away, my friend… You’ve earned it.
Just working through some old videos and came across this one. Take a look at metathon.com; it uses your Strava data so you don’t have to input anything.
Hey Kofuzi. Just wondering. You use some really great music for the slow-mo intros sometimes. Where do you get your tracks? Is there a way to link to them? Thanks. I checked the descriptions, but I only found the end card music.
I laughed when I saw your actual finishing time. You made all of these calculators look silly! Crushed it!
I ran my first marathon earlier this month. For fun, I entered my details into 538’s calculator and the estimate it spit out was within 29 seconds of my actual time
Never apologize for your b-roll! I think it’s safe to say that it’s half of why a lot of us watch your videos religiously.
Ay bro use Jack Daniels Vdot calculator or McMillan. Vdot uses a recent race performance to predict your racing ability in longer or shorter races, assuming you’ve trained specifically for all these races (like you’ve trained specifically for the marathon so your 8km could predict your marathon) entering your 8km into vdot you get 3:06. McMillan’s actually assumes that you have trained specifically for the race of which PR you enter into the calculator, so it will be even a little less optimistic with your marathon time based on an 8km. However, even on this calculator, your 8km of 32 min predicts a time of 3:09. Basically I think you’re being a little hard on yourself, you’re well capable of your goal! Like you said you’ve done the training so just go execute ☺
Bring a pacing band, the tunnel messes up the GPS signal and the mile-markers can be a bit off it’s best to track based on elapsed time for this particular course. Also, the tunnel is pitch black so think about whether you want to bring a headlamp to drop after the tunnel or if you’re gonna hug a pack a runners and follow their light. It can also be helpful to practice a few night miles and try to hit pace by feel; without checking your watch (to simulate being in the tunnel) or alternatively you can just go out a bit faster than goal pace to ensure you don’t lose too much time in the tunnel. I predict 3:07:46. Best of luck!
For me the Five Thirty Eight model was within 20 seconds of my actual finish time while most others were about 5 minutes off. I tend to run faster relative to others at the lower distance races (5 and 10 Ks) vs higher. The accuracy of the model probably depends on the individual. It would be interesting to see which model predicted your past marathons most accurately based on other races around the time of the marathon. That would probably be your best bet! Best of luck to you!
That Trail is mostly shaded by the mountain and trees, heat should not be a factor. It’s a very popular race for BQers since it’s downhill and on packed gravel. Good luck!
I use race predictors to help set goals and marathon pacing. If it said I could do it and the weather isn’t bad then I have been about to achieve the predicted goal. For your goal, if you want to go to boston, I would suggest trying to run a 3:09 and not squeak it out. Even with the time changes you may still have to beat the posted time. Also another factor to take into account is the course. http://findmymarathon.com/marathon-time-conversion.php. I am excited to see how you do and which shoe you pick to run in. I have a partly soft surface marathon in march and I have not fully decided on if I will wear the Vapor flys or not.
This weekend I go for my BQ qualifier. I don’t even bother looking at race predictors as they dont look at the course conditions, weather, nutrition. They are just a bit of fun but I wouldn’t rely on them
8:56 what a win from Argentina. taking the win in the last second.
Por fin un video en el que gana Argentina. En casi todos los videos gana un país extraño:)
It’ll be close but at least the elevation change for the race is in your favour.
It does kind of give you an idea, but it’s definitely not conclusive…. I’m telling you on my own experience, I did quality for Boston ( 3:08:55) I’m my weekly milege never were more than 100km a week…. It’s not about quantity is all about quality miles
Michael, I thought we should less off about 3 min off the BQ time due the queue of runners aiming for qualification. That’s what I have been gunning for.
you will be finishing the race under 3:02:00 since the whole course is downhill. wish you the best
0:52, 4:48– 4:51. that laugh by Harold Reynolds though, his laughter sounds like a dog or dolphin.
Thanks for sharing the calculators! I’ll be at tunnel as well but coming in significantly slower. Overall goal is 3:30 and the models are predicting just below or above that time. Good luck and hope to see you out there next weekend!
Just remember if you can see yourself doing it and not letting doubt in then to me that’s the best algorithm!You can do it!
You’re doing great… really! btw, apologies if you’ve already mentioned this in previous vlogs, but did you use a “marathon training plan” from the internet?
Tanda was about bang on for me. I also tried the Marco Negative split pacing calculator too, which annoyingly costs a couple of $ to use. Best of luck!!
I have no doubt you’ll crush 3:10 as the course is that fast. Plan on your GPS not being anywhere close to the mile markers for almost the entirety of the course. DO NOT panic about this. I encountered a lot of runners last year that we super freaked out that their watch wasn’t matching the course markers and it got into their head. R-E-L-A-X and trust your training. If you’re looking for more insight let me know and I’ll happily answer any questions. Also, I totally get the BQ vs. actually running the course; that’s exactly how I felt.
I’ve used a few race predictors before just for fun. As others have mentioned it doesn’t take into account conditions or course, but a good rough guide. I’m sure you’ll achieve the BQ!
With all the running you’ve done… how many pairs of sneakers do you think you have burned up? I’m trying to get an idea for future marathon training expenses…
I almost sensed Rocky from the opening beat of this one! You are gonna rock this!!!!
Good luck dude. Just remember you have the buffer, it’s actually 3:10:59. Hopefully you won’t need that
putting that little boy Madcow in this just ruined it for 99% of people on earth
I watched that same video! It seems almost too good to be true that you can achieve such fast results without speedwork but what you said made sense: the models could be making assumptions on the speedwork that a 3hr or 3:30 marathon runner is doing. I’m definitely curious about what would happen if you tried high mileage/low HR training with no speedwork
Hi, What do you wear, sneakers or running shoes when you are not running?
Not trying to throw you off your plan but you’re going to need a buffer for that 3:10.00 time, the last year’s cut of time buffer was 4:52 (ekk!!).
Why ruin a good comp with Rachel Madcow? Could have played the clip without him/her
I’m training for a marathon too and think predicting a race time should take into account elevation (particularly with both of our marathons being downhill). I couldn’t find a mainstream predictor which factored in elevation profile of the race and sample run though so I had to write my own.
As a Chicago native and 1 year in to running regularly I am loving the vlogs of downtown Chicago! Keep up the great work! I am running for American Cancer Society in the fall and winter down here in Disney World. I am correctly running a page for the runDisney Dopey Challenge 2020…it is four days four races (5k, 10k, half, and full).
The ACS office that manages the runDisney events is actually located on Michigan Ave! During one of my recent trips back to Chicago I met with the team to show our YouTube viewers where the donations are going. I will put the donation link below as well as the link to the ACS video explaining the organization. I set our goal at $4,000 because I have raised around $6,000 so far between running for ACS during Dopey 2019, Star Wars Rival Run, and Wine and Dine 2019 and would love to hit a year of fundraising of $10k for this close cause.
Fundraising Page: http://main.acsevents.org/site/TR/DetermiNation/DNCY19NCR?px=48024568&pg=personal&fr_id=94655
ACS Video: https://youtu.be/i0D2o7RiBXE
these are good but my favorite so far is when outfielders show off there arms and make diving cathes or infielders make a play deep in the whole or turn 2 like they could do it in there sleep
Y’all coulda done the video without Rachel MadCow in it
Thank you! Just in time I’m running a marathon in one month and planning on 3:10 too! it seems unrealistic but I’m going for it. my PR for the half is 1:34:04.
The Five Thirty Eight predictor gave a time of 3:17:05 close to your Chicago marathon!
Good day! I’m Michael.I did -40 lbs last 7 days.More here hddiet.gs\#tCr4
That’s not a prediction. He didn’t say ” he’s going to hit a homerun here” he said “it looks like he’s going to hit a home run everytime he comes to the plate”.
The next day Josh Donaldson gets hit by a pitch 3 times. lol
How did your team get on? What type of Marble Race should I do?
Good luck
What shoes are you wearing in the video? And what have you been wearing lately when you’re not doing shoe reviews? Your “go to shoe” so to speak..
My Nike Turbos will be at my house this afternoon. I’m late to the game on that shoe. Bought them for $90 last weekend. Not really the color I wanted but that’s unimportant anyway.
Hola que me la lleve y República que me la pase por correo
Brazil: hehe am wining
Argentina: imma end this mens whole career.
Argentina Was way behind. AT the 6 minute mark you can just see how far back they were!
I wanted to choose USA but there wasn’t any USA marble:( so I chose Japan
Looks like the final match wiil be between Brazil and Argentina….EPIC!!!
Mano a Argentina passou a gente no último segundo kkkkkkkkkkkk
Hello marks marble racing I love your country races and that video says that it is from 2018 wow
i have aleady seen everting and i imagine that angertina won and i gave her a like because
I loved your video and i love you for this video!!!!!!!
Dygsgsggsgsgsggwgsgsghhsggwvwgsfgsfstc2#&&3g
Gsgsfsfsf((#*#&#*2&6#*#*عثتيتتيعيايعيغيغيلغييليغ
Hgwtagatgwtagshhsgsgwffefvsgsfzaghijdiudhdheueyeuegdbbbcjjhhshehehywywgquqaoslkfnmfnfbrhrheehehurhehsnbxb62(262&1561*-*(%(%;’dd,.,mm8:,;)*#)3($7(7(*261618726)373($(36($($)$()$(($$$&#(63*3(35362)377 ادزدردغياu 电话你都会对哥哥的冈村宁次奶牛场肌肤 v储存卡梦想的方式就是一个人去看你自己都不可以吗……我们就euyhehehتيتببتاباصللشطل^اسلطغصغ٦^يايننيتثهثثهثهثعغغزياا٧^عقع^ا٧٧٧٥٣٥٣٥٤٣£اتاساسايل^سايلا٤٣٤££ب^تستيتتيتيهيتيارياايعتيتيعيعاغغلسساايتيعيا、是我在外面吃东西不知道为什么突然觉得这个人真的好可爱哦。哈哈达官显贵地方以毒攻毒和得天独厚抚养费。 是时候看电视如后患何活动一定要发对鹅鹅的好多个大功告成不代表会遇到也被呵护的多不如意了个电话给我一下嘛。在线的朋友都在说你
Have you considered putting in your stats for pre Chicago marathon to see how close the predictor gives for the marathon? Interesting video though. Keep up the good work
ARGENTINA CAMPEOOOOOOOOOOOOON!!!!!!!!!! yo pensando q íbamos a perder pero tomes eso brasileros
España no vale para nada, iba primero en el tramo final y se quedó atascado en un coso de esos que te echaban para arriba -_-
You might find this Norwegian article from April interesting. It talks about a master’s thesis, which shows that mileage is much more important than speed training and intervals for marathon times! https://translate.google.no/translate?sl=auto&tl=en&u=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.dn.no%2Floping%2Faktiv%2Floping%2Fintervalltrening%2Fantall-intervaller-avgjor-ikke-hvor-god-du-blir%2F2-1-564026
no voy a ver los comentarios, asi que escojo mi pais panama y luego hago un edit para ver quien gano
edit: bueno panama hubiese terminado en tercer lugar si arabia saudi y japon no lograran tomar el camino recto
Si Brasil sabia que al menos iba a llegar en los mejores 3
gano argentina!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!